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Red68
310416.6
206429.6
22819.5
Blue124
363424.9
283636.9
23059.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42115010015020025068124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#33
29.60.6
25.125.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 30.0
230
#3
59.70.8
51.752.6
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Second
228
#30
19.50.6
15.916.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 17.5
36.90.8
31.131.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
3104
#29
16.60.6
14.014.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3634
#19
24.90.8
24.725.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0