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Red78
99941.0
199134.6
574620.5
Blue60
174022.3
112437.2
22819.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801001207860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#6
41.00.9
22.223.1
Auto0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 3.8
1124
#18
37.20.4
26.426.8
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
1991
#16
34.60.9
25.426.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 12.3
1740
#13
22.30.4
8.38.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5746
#28
20.50.9
12.213.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
228
#30
19.50.4
17.317.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0