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Red84
17333.4
19566.2
55833.8
Blue113
83931.4
314638.8
405543.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104825015020084113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.20.7
48.447.7
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 22.7
4055
#11
43.41.2
36.637.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Second
558
#25
33.80.7
32.531.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
blue by 4.9
38.81.2
29.630.8
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Third
173
#10
33.40.7
23.222.5
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
839
#14
31.41.2
22.423.6
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0