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Red165
23059.7
19566.2
206429.6
Blue148
112437.2
17732.8
23641.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14995050200250165148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.20.4
63.063.4
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 24.7
236
#15
41.40.7
39.840.5
Auto5.6
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
230
#3
59.70.4
56.556.9
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 22.5
1124
#18
37.20.7
35.636.3
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
2064
#33
29.60.4
26.426.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
177
#12
32.80.7
31.231.9
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0