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Red211
22829.0
206770.3
314657.4
Blue140
19586.2
283672.3
107127.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14518550100250300350211140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
blue by 15.9
195
#3
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
blue by 14.9
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Third
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
1071
#17
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0