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Red144
23065.3
109936.9
206443.9
Blue80
23655.8
199134.6
18126.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471065020025014480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 9.5
236
#28
55.80.0
55.855.8
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 10.4
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0