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Red204
19586.2
283672.3
107127.0
Blue165
23065.3
109936.9
206443.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18713250100150250300204165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 20.8
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 28.5
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
1071
#17
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 9.9
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0