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Red121
206770.3
217065.3
174022.3
Blue72
23065.3
112447.8
109936.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15414310020012172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
red by 17.5
1124
#12
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
1740
#16
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 14.6
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0