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Red98
22829.0
23735.3
55840.6
Blue90
17347.3
17732.8
314657.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941400502002509890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#23
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
blue by 16.8
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 12.0
173
#6
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto0.6
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
177
#21
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0