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Red132
352528.6
17555.3
17643.9
Blue103
15547.8
568611.0
206443.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12994050150200132103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#7
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 7.5
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
176
#19
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
3525
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 17.7
5686
#26
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0