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Qual 22015 Connecticut State Championship
Red108
23735.3
99961.0
23065.3
Blue161
17555.3
206443.9
283672.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541680100200300400108161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#22
65.30.0
65.3→65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2836
#1
72.30.0
72.3→72.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
999
#2
61.00.0
61.0→61.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 5.7
175
#7
55.30.0
55.3→55.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Third
237
#27
35.30.0
35.3→35.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 8.6
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.9→43.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0