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Red92
15547.8
174022.3
352528.6
Blue83
107127.0
355519.3
217065.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921100501502002503009283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 17.6
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
Second
3525
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 1.7
1071
#17
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
1740
#16
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
3555
#15
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0