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Red114
355519.3
23065.3
314657.4
Blue84
17643.9
405548.6
18126.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421105010020025011484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 16.7
4055
#20
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 13.5
176
#19
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
3555
#15
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 7.2
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0