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Red172
568611.0
99961.0
109936.9
Blue115
19586.2
15547.8
23735.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92176050150200250300172115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#2
61.00.0
61.061.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 25.2
195
#3
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 10.9
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
5686
#26
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 24.3
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0