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Qual 262015 Connecticut State Championship
Red136
169935.8
217065.3
283672.3
Blue120
206443.9
17643.9
314657.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313450100150200250136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2836
#1
72.30.0
72.3→72.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 14.9
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.4→57.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.3→65.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
red by 21.4
176
#19
43.90.0
43.9→43.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
1699
#25
35.80.0
35.8→35.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 8.0
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.9→43.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0