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Red126
23655.8
109936.9
17732.8
Blue110
17555.3
99961.0
55840.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114158050100200250300126110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#28
55.80.0
55.855.8
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
999
#2
61.00.0
61.061.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 18.4
175
#7
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Third
177
#21
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 7.8
558
#23
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0