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Red108
174022.3
109936.9
206443.9
Blue181
22829.0
405548.6
283672.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89155050200250300108181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 28.5
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
4055
#20
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
1740
#16
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0