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Red32
23655.8
18126.5
199134.6
Blue18
23735.3
568611.0
217065.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114106204060801401601803218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#28
55.80.0
55.855.8
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
blue by 9.5
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
Second
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 0.7
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 15.5
5686
#26
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0