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Red78
371926.4
17555.3
314657.4
Blue56
107127.0
15547.8
365418.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144790501002002507856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 9.6
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
175
#7
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 28.3
1071
#17
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
3719
#24
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
3654
#30
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0