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Red41
22829.0
568611.0
18126.5
Blue18
365418.1
169935.8
55840.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589701502004118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 11.6
558
#23
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1699
#25
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
5686
#26
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3654
#30
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0