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Red64
314657.4
405548.6
112447.8
Blue162
17732.8
19586.2
199134.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491488010012014016064162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
blue by 28.8
195
#3
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
4055
#20
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 14.1
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
1124
#12
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 15.1
177
#21
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0