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Red160
109936.9
23735.3
371926.4
Blue100
169935.8
23065.3
352528.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88132050150200250160100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 28.5
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 0.5
1699
#25
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
3719
#24
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3525
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0