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Red116
18126.5
15547.8
17555.3
Blue126
174022.3
17347.3
112447.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811150100150200116126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#7
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 7.5
1124
#12
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
173
#6
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto0.6
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
1740
#16
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0