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Red240
22829.0
206770.3
314657.4
Blue78
23065.3
109936.9
206443.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531395010020025024078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
230
#22
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 13.5
2064
#13
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0