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Red124
22829.0
206770.3
314657.4
Blue70
23655.8
199134.6
18126.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601045020025012470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 14.5
236
#28
55.80.0
55.855.8
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
3146
#18
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 22.8
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
228
#8
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
181
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0