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Semifinal pool 22015 Connecticut State Championship
Red203
19586.2
283672.3
107127.0
Blue152
17555.3
99961.0
17643.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414950100200250300203152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
86.20.0
86.2→86.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 25.2
999
#2
61.00.0
61.0→61.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
2836
#1
72.30.0
72.3→72.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 17.0
175
#7
55.30.0
55.3→55.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Third
1071
#17
27.00.0
27.0→27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 17.0
176
#19
43.90.0
43.9→43.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0