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Red114
23034.7
23635.1
34647.4
Blue90
55821.3
23726.8
455715.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7557010015011490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#1
35.10.7
34.335.0
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
237
#5
26.80.5
26.326.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
230
#2
34.70.7
33.934.5
Auto1.6
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 13.4
558
#13
21.30.5
20.821.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
3464
#34
7.40.7
6.67.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 8.1
4557
#14
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0