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Red104
23034.7
23635.1
34647.4
Blue70
22815.3
206418.8
15516.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7545010015020010470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#1
35.10.5
33.634.1
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 16.3
2064
#11
18.80.3
18.919.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
230
#2
34.70.5
33.133.7
Auto1.6
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 18.1
155
#19
16.60.3
16.617.0
Auto0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
3464
#34
7.40.5
5.96.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
228
#24
15.30.3
15.415.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0