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Red38
19517.3
55821.3
206725.2
Blue26
99922.2
46284.9
206418.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6234020801001201401603826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.8
19.517.8
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
999
#3
22.21.1
17.015.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
558
#13
21.31.8
18.516.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 2.4
2064
#11
18.81.1
14.413.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
195
#26
17.31.8
21.419.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 12.4
4628
#33
4.91.1
8.27.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0