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Red56
56869.6
112416.0
17624.8
Blue2
107116.0
457214.4
363414.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3330020406080100120562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#6
24.81.8
14.816.6
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 8.7
1071
#17
16.02.5
14.812.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
1124
#15
16.01.8
9.611.4
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
4572
#25
14.42.5
6.23.7
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5686
#28
9.61.8
9.711.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3634
#22
14.32.5
10.78.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0