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Red62
331423.3
34647.4
371813.7
Blue42
15516.6
512915.8
31044.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330102040506070806242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.32.3
14.817.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
155
#19
16.60.6
14.615.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
3718
#23
13.72.3
9.111.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5129
#12
15.80.6
14.415.0
Auto0.8
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3464
#34
7.42.3
10.913.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
red by 2.5
3104
#31
4.90.6
6.26.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0