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Red14
55821.3
99922.2
112416.0
Blue6
283618.2
56869.6
109910.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270206080100120140146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#3
22.22.0
15.913.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
2836
#10
18.22.1
10.88.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
558
#13
21.32.0
16.714.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 11.3
1099
#30
10.02.1
10.58.4
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
1124
#15
16.02.0
11.49.4
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
5686
#28
9.62.1
9.57.5
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End0.0