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Red24
206725.2
37807.6
455715.5
Blue11
574611.7
457214.4
346111.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4118060801001201402411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.3
17.816.5
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 10.8
4572
#25
14.41.0
3.72.8
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Second
4557
#14
15.51.3
12.211.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 3.9
5746
#20
11.71.0
4.43.5
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
3780
#29
7.61.3
9.17.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
3461
#27
11.21.0
14.413.5
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.0