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Red60
217026.8
206418.8
331423.3
Blue10
371813.7
405526.9
46284.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060801001201406010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.2
15.416.6
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
26.91.9
14.612.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
23.31.2
17.118.3
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 9.5
3718
#23
13.71.9
11.49.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
2064
#11
18.81.2
13.314.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 13.9
4628
#33
4.91.9
7.05.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0