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Red100
23635.1
17624.8
457214.4
Blue76
365411.9
19517.3
574611.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3827020608010012010076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#1
35.15.2
18.523.7
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 17.8
195
#26
17.33.9
19.623.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
176
#6
24.85.2
16.621.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 12.9
3654
#21
11.93.9
6.310.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4572
#25
14.45.2
2.88.0
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
5746
#20
11.73.9
3.57.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End0.0