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Red14
371813.7
31044.9
199116.6
Blue22
109910.0
112416.0
22815.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243104060801001201401422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#18
16.61.0
10.59.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
1124
#15
16.00.7
9.48.7
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3718
#23
13.71.0
9.48.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
228
#24
15.30.7
13.012.3
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
3104
#31
4.91.0
6.35.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1099
#30
10.00.7
8.47.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0