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Red56
107116.0
455715.5
15516.6
Blue111
23635.1
365411.9
206725.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052010015056111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#19
16.61.8
15.617.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 18.5
236
#1
35.15.1
23.728.7
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
1071
#17
16.01.8
8.310.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 9.2
25.25.1
16.521.6
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
4557
#14
15.51.8
11.012.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
3654
#21
11.95.1
10.215.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0