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Red6
34647.4
206418.8
283618.2
Blue20
457214.4
31044.9
112416.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411706080100120140620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#11
18.82.7
16.113.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
1124
#15
16.00.2
8.78.5
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
2836
#10
18.22.7
12.810.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
4572
#25
14.40.2
8.07.8
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
3464
#34
7.42.7
9.97.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
red by 2.5
3104
#31
4.90.2
5.25.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0