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Red8
56869.6
107116.0
346111.2
Blue30
23034.7
19517.3
37807.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236604080100120140160830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1071
#17
16.01.9
10.08.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 18.6
230
#2
34.72.6
27.024.3
Auto1.6
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
3461
#27
11.21.9
13.611.7
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 6.1
195
#26
17.32.6
25.122.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5686
#28
9.61.9
7.25.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
3780
#29
7.62.6
9.56.8
Auto0.7
Teleop6.9
End0.0