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Red15
206725.2
512915.8
46284.9
Blue32
17624.8
23726.8
365411.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36630501001502001532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.22.2
21.619.3
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
237
#5
26.82.4
20.217.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
5129
#12
15.82.2
15.813.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
176
#6
24.82.4
25.823.4
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4628
#33
4.92.2
4.32.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3654
#21
11.92.4
15.212.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0