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Red51
283618.2
512915.8
457214.4
Blue18
31044.9
217026.8
363414.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310204060801001205118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2836
#10
18.21.6
10.111.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 8.6
26.80.7
17.817.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Second
5129
#12
15.81.6
13.615.2
Auto0.8
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
3634
#22
14.30.7
9.58.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4572
#25
14.41.6
7.89.4
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
3104
#31
4.90.7
5.14.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0