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Red20
22815.3
99922.2
19517.3
Blue12
51426.8
37807.6
365411.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522004060801001201401602012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#3
22.22.4
17.314.8
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 10.3
3654
#21
11.91.2
12.811.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
195
#26
17.32.4
22.520.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 9.7
3780
#29
7.61.2
6.85.7
Auto0.7
Teleop6.9
End0.0
Third
228
#24
15.32.4
9.57.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
5142
#32
6.81.2
6.25.0
Auto0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0