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Red64
112416.0
23726.8
199116.6
Blue54
405526.9
457214.4
34647.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270204060801001206454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#5
26.81.4
21.623.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
26.91.6
20.121.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
1991
#18
16.61.4
14.215.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
4572
#25
14.41.6
8.39.9
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
1124
#15
16.01.4
8.910.3
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 8.6
3464
#34
7.41.6
2.84.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0