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Red42
217026.8
512915.8
365411.9
Blue50
99922.2
283618.2
574611.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060801001201401604250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
18.518.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 4.6
999
#3
22.21.0
17.118.0
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
5129
#12
15.80.0
12.712.7
Auto0.8
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2836
#10
18.21.0
14.615.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
3654
#21
11.90.0
10.410.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
5746
#20
11.71.0
4.95.9
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End0.0