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Red92
457214.4
99922.2
371813.7
Blue106
23034.7
17624.8
55821.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367705010015020092106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#3
22.22.7
20.623.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 12.4
230
#2
34.71.8
31.333.1
Auto1.6
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4572
#25
14.42.7
11.714.4
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 10.4
176
#6
24.81.8
23.225.0
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3718
#23
13.72.7
11.314.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 7.5
558
#13
21.31.8
18.620.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0