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Red34
19517.3
56869.6
455715.5
Blue55
23726.8
283618.2
31044.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414802060801001201401603455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#26
17.30.6
18.618.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 9.5
237
#5
26.80.3
25.625.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
4557
#14
15.50.6
15.314.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2836
#10
18.20.3
18.919.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5686
#28
9.60.6
10.19.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 4.7
3104
#31
4.90.3
4.64.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0