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Red86
217026.8
107116.0
112416.0
Blue86
371813.7
512915.8
206418.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503502060801001201408686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.82.2
21.323.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
2064
#11
18.82.6
16.018.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
1071
#17
16.02.0
14.016.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
5129
#12
15.82.6
13.916.5
Auto0.8
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
1124
#15
16.02.0
14.316.3
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
3718
#23
13.72.9
8.411.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0