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Red28
352517.9
331423.3
457214.4
Blue57
23635.1
46284.9
23726.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302060801001201402857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.6
15.414.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 11.9
236
#1
35.11.1
19.020.1
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
3525
#16
17.90.6
13.312.7
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 8.9
237
#5
26.81.1
17.218.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4572
#25
14.40.6
6.96.2
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
4628
#33
4.91.1
7.08.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0