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Red56
99922.2
217026.8
15516.6
Blue6
31044.9
206418.8
346111.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46400206080100120140160566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.8
16.617.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
2064
#11
18.83.1
17.514.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
999
#3
22.20.8
16.317.0
Auto0.8
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 11.0
3461
#27
11.23.1
16.012.9
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
155
#19
16.60.8
13.814.6
Auto0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
3104
#31
4.93.1
9.26.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.2
End0.0