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Qual 102015 Curie Division
Red36
131942.6
465326.2
61049.6
Blue147
157451.0
255731.5
12046.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115114408010012014036147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#18
49.64.2
43.7→39.6
Auto2.1
Teleop47.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1574
#12
51.02.1
45.6→47.7
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
1319
#55
42.64.2
42.9→38.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop42.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
120
#34
46.31.7
43.1→44.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
4653
#74
26.24.2
32.6→28.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
2557
#37
31.51.7
29.9→31.6
Auto0.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0